The Conservatives and climate change

Simon Wren-Lewis, in his mainly macro blog, points out that there is a big disconnect between Conservative party words and action on climate change. Their words are vaguely green, and imply that they take climate change seriously. Their actions are not in the slightest bit green. In an earlier article, George Monbiot noted a part of the innocently […]

Past performance is not a good guide to future performance

How many times have you seen a standard disclaimer about past performance not being a good guide to the future? And internally nodded wisely, thinking that of course it’s not, the disclaimer is there to warn less sophisticated people than you. How many times have you calibrated a model based on past performance? And recent […]